Polymarket World Cup champion prediction market cumulative trading volume exceeds 1.8 billion dollars
By: rootdata|2026/06/11 04:45:03
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As the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off, the Polymarket World Cup champion prediction market has accumulated a trading volume of over $1.8 billion, with a trading volume exceeding $66 million in the past 24 hours and liquidity in the pool reaching $352.7 million. France slightly leads Spain with an implied championship probability of 16.2% compared to Spain's 16.0%, with the two teams accounting for about 32% combined, and they will directly face each other in the group stage, making this match a key pricing moment for the entire tournament market.
The trading volume for the France champion market reached $40.9 million, while Spain's was $33.6 million, both being the highest for a single country market. The host country, the United States, had a trading volume of $50.9 million, but the implied championship probability is only about 3%, reflecting a high level of retail participation.
In addition, the total trading volume for the 12 group champion markets is approximately $3.4 million. The trading volume over the past week reached $342 million, and $881 million over the past month, showing a significant acceleration in trading volume as the event approaches.
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